BTC / USDTPerpetual futures
LIVE SINCE 2026-06-21
Live since 2026-06-21. Every signal is generated and time-stamped in real time and tracked on paper. Earlier results, back to 2019-09-17, are a backtest. How we count
THE BTC SIGNAL DESK

Clear signals.
A visible record.

Every BTC signal, posted before the move and graded after. Entry, stop and target — with the full history to judge them.

Live since 2026-06-21. Wins and losses, all on the tape.
THE HISTORICAL RECORD

Account growth

↗
BTCUSDT · 1h / 4hStarting at 1× · Log scale
1×2×4×8×2020202120222023202420252026
Grade A only · 8.8×All signals (A full, B half) · 9.4×
Hypothetical account growthView full analysis
Signals in the record530
Years of history7.1
Grade A win rate58.5%
Grade A profit factor2.49
Own the dataDownload the record
RECENT HISTORY
2026-08-20LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.94R
2026-08-20LIVE4h LONGA★★★★+1.96R
2026-08-20LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.94R
2026-08-20LIVE4h LONGA★★★★+1.95R
2026-08-20LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.96R
2026-08-20LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.96R
2026-08-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.96R
2026-08-21LIVE4h LONGA★★★★+1.95R
2026-08-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.95R
2026-08-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.95R
2026-08-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.95R
2026-08-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.95R
2026-08-21LIVE4h LONGA★★★★+1.92R
2026-09-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.93R
2026-09-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.93R
2026-09-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.93R
2026-09-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.93R
2026-09-28LIVE4h LONGA★★★★+1.88R
2026-09-28LIVE4h LONGA★★★★+1.91R
2026-10-05LIVE4h SHORTB★★★★−1.09R
2026-10-09LIVE4h LONGA★★★★−1.14R
2026-10-25LIVE4h LONGB★★★★−1.07R
2026-10-26LIVE4h LONGB★★★★−1.20R
2026-10-30LIVE1h SHORTA★★★★−1.07R
2026-08-20LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.94R
2026-08-20LIVE4h LONGA★★★★+1.96R
2026-08-20LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.94R
2026-08-20LIVE4h LONGA★★★★+1.95R
2026-08-20LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.96R
2026-08-20LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.96R
2026-08-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.96R
2026-08-21LIVE4h LONGA★★★★+1.95R
2026-08-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.95R
2026-08-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.95R
2026-08-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.95R
2026-08-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.95R
2026-08-21LIVE4h LONGA★★★★+1.92R
2026-09-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.93R
2026-09-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.93R
2026-09-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.93R
2026-09-21LIVE1h LONGA★★★★+1.93R
2026-09-28LIVE4h LONGA★★★★+1.88R
2026-09-28LIVE4h LONGA★★★★+1.91R
2026-10-05LIVE4h SHORTB★★★★−1.09R
2026-10-09LIVE4h LONGA★★★★−1.14R
2026-10-25LIVE4h LONGB★★★★−1.07R
2026-10-26LIVE4h LONGB★★★★−1.20R
2026-10-30LIVE1h SHORTA★★★★−1.07R
MEASURED. NOT PROMISED.

The record, in full view.

Explore performance

530 signals over 7.1 years, graded A or B. Figures assume 1% of the account at risk per signal.

Grade A only 3.8 signals a month

58.5%
of signals hit the target
Average win+1.92R
Average loss−1.08R
Profit factor2.49
Worst drawdown11.2%
Longest losing run10
Longest wait for a signal (weeks)25

All signals, A full size and B half 6.2 a month

50.9%
of signals hit the target
Average win+1.92R
Average loss−1.08R
Profit factor1.84
Worst drawdown16.2%
Longest losing run14
Longest wait for a signal (weeks)5
A SIGNAL WITH CONTEXT

Two grades. A clearer decision.

Every signal is published. The grade tells you how much weight it has earned in the record. Stars, from one to four, show how many confirmations agreed with it — see the record by grade and stars.

A With the trend

Grade A: the signal points the same way as the 50-day trend (daily close above the 50-day average for longs, below it for shorts) and the last five signals together are not worse than -3R.

Win rate58.5%
Profit factor2.49
Suggested sizeFull, for example 1% risk

B Caution

Grade B: every other signal — against the 50-day trend, or during a cool-down after recent losses.

Win rate38.5%
Profit factor1.10
Suggested sizeHalf, or skip

What a bad stretch looks like

Read this before you follow the signals. These are real parts of the record, not rare accidents.

  • The longest run of losing signals was 10 for grade A and 14 across all signals. Losing runs came in sideways or slowly falling markets, not in crashes.
  • The worst drawdown at 1% risk per signal was 11.2% for grade A and 16.2% for all signals with B at half size.
  • Grade A signals can go quiet: the longest wait between two of them was 25 weeks.
  • A win averages about +1.92R and a loss about −1.08R. The edge shows over many signals, never in one.

Grade A, year by year

YearSignalsWin rateNetAccountWorst dip
2019650.0%+2.8R+2.7%2.1R
20205457.4%+36.7R+43.2%6.1R
20213348.5%+13.1R+13.5%5.3R
20224163.4%+34.8R+40.8%6.7R
20238353.0%+41.1R+49.2%8.0R
20244052.5%+18.1R+19.2%9.8R
20252552.0%+9.9R+10.1%5.0R
20264881.2%+65.3R+90.5%3.4R
THE TRANSPARENT TAPE

Every signal leaves a record.

The last ten from the record. Browse all signals or download the CSV.

#Posted (UTC)TFSideGradeEntryStopTargetClosed (UTC)ResultR
#5302026-10-30 01:00 LIVE1hSHORTA★★★★77,208.278,334.374,955.92026-10-30 05:00LOSS−1.07R
#5292026-10-26 00:00 LIVE4hLONGB★★★★80,114.379,215.282,362.02026-10-30 00:00LOSS−1.20R
#5282026-10-25 00:00 LIVE4hLONGB★★★★80,843.779,398.083,735.02026-10-26 04:00LOSS−1.07R
#5272026-10-09 04:00 LIVE4hLONGA★★★★82,385.181,064.585,026.32026-10-13 04:00LOSS−1.14R
#5262026-10-05 16:00 LIVE4hSHORTB★★★★85,220.386,405.182,850.72026-10-06 16:00LOSS−1.09R
#5252026-09-28 20:00 LIVE4hLONGA★★★★83,343.981,815.086,401.62026-10-02 08:00WIN+1.91R
#5242026-09-28 16:00 LIVE4hLONGA★★★★83,328.482,104.585,776.22026-10-02 08:00WIN+1.88R
#5232026-09-21 12:00 LIVE1hLONGA★★★★84,849.983,883.786,782.22026-09-21 20:00WIN+1.93R
#5222026-09-21 11:00 LIVE1hLONGA★★★★84,400.183,420.986,358.42026-09-21 20:00WIN+1.93R
#5212026-09-21 10:00 LIVE1hLONGA★★★★84,626.083,652.386,573.32026-09-21 20:00WIN+1.93R